We’re seeing a second wave of price reductions since the excise cut took effect (and since Monday), and this one has nothing to do with Canberra. Two significant developments collided on April 8.
First, the United States and Iran announced a temporary two-week ceasefire, dialling back the immediate threat of a wider regional conflict. Second, and more critically for global oil markets, Iran agreed to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, the narrow passage through which approximately 20% of the world’s oil flows.
The effect on Brent crude prices was immediate as prices plummeted, and within 48 hours, that relief began flowing through to Australian pumps on top of the existing excise and GST-supported reduction.
Melbourne, Victoria
Current average: 219.6 (-7.9)
Melbourne’s fuel market has seen broad-based improvements, with every zone except the north and city recording significant drops. The south zone has reclaimed its crown as Melbourne’s cheapest, with Carrum Downs’ U-GO at 211.5 cents. The west, east, and south-east zones have all seen improvements of 5-6 cents.
| Zone | Price (ULP91) 6th Apr | Price (ULP91) 10th Apr | Suburb | Station |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North | 211.9 | 211.9 | Coburg North (3058) | Metro Coburg North |
| West | 219.5 | 213.9 | Seabrook (3028) | Solo Seabrook |
| East | 219.7 | 214.9 | Ringwood East (3135) | U-GO Ringwood East |
| South-East | 218.7 | 212.7 | Moorabbin Airport (3194) | Costco Moorabbin |
| South | 219.5 | 211.5 | Carrum Downs (3201) | U-GO Carrum Downs |
| City & Inner | 210.3 | 210.3 | Kingsville (3012) | Burk Kingsville |
Sydney, New South Wales
Current average: 216.8 (-4.5)
Sydney’s fuel market has seen the most uniform improvements, with every zone (except 1) recording price drops. The west zone has broken through the 210-cent barrier, and the south-west zone has also seen strong improvement. The northern beaches and city and east zones, traditionally Sydney’s most expensive, have both seen drops of approximately 5-6 cents.
| Zone | Price (ULP91) 6th Apr | Price (ULP91) 10th Apr | Suburb | Station |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West | 213.7 | 208.9 | Lansdowne (2163) | Metro Lansdowne |
| North-West | 213.7 | 213.7 | Carlingford (2118) | Medco Petroleum |
| South-West | 213.7 | 209.7 | Campbelltown (2560) | G Torque Petroleum |
| Northern Beaches and North Shore | 221.9 | 216.9 | Forestville (2087) | Metro Killarney |
| City & East | 221.8 | 215.9 | Eastlakes (2018) | Budget Eastlakes |
Brisbane, Queensland
Current average: 219.6 (-4.8)
Brisbane’s fuel market has seen the most dramatic single-zone improvement among capitals, with the south zone dropping nearly 9 cents. The south zone has reclaimed the crown it lost on Monday, at 210.9 cents. This is an 8.6-cent drop from Monday’s price of 219.5 cents. The north, west, Ipswich corridor, and city and inner zones have all seen improvements of 2-4 cents. The east and bayside zone has held steady at 216.9 cents.
| Zone | Price (ULP91) 6th Apr | Price (ULP91) 10th Apr | Suburb | Station |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North | 217.9 | 215.5 | Bracken Ridge (4017) | U-GO Bracken Ridge |
| South | 219.5 | 210.9 | Robertson (4109) | Metro Sunnybank |
| West | 221.5 | 217.5 | Oxley (4075) | Liberty Oxley |
| Ipswich Corridor | 219.5 | 215.5 | Silkstone (4304) | Metco Silkstone |
| East & Bayside | 216.9 | 216.9 | Capalaba (4157) | Metro Capalaba |
| City & Inner | 223.5 | 219.9 | Newstead (4006) | BP Commercial Road |
Final thoughts
What we’ve witnessed this week is the difference between policy-driven relief and market-driven relief. The excise cut was a government intervention, welcome, but ultimately artificial. It put a floor under prices by reducing taxes, but it couldn’t address the underlying cost of the oil itself.
The ceasefire and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz are different. They address the root cause of the price spike: supply fears. When the market believes oil will flow freely, the risk premium evaporates, and prices fall across the entire supply chain.
The combination of these two forces, domestic tax relief and global supply reassurance, has created a small window of lower prices. But the ceasefire is temporary, and the excise cut expires on 30 June, unless the government extends it.
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